The State of the Nation`s Housing 2009 – Harvard University

The Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University just released the `The State of the Nation`s Housing 2009.`  If you enjoy facts, figures, statistics and charts galore like I do, this 44 page doozy is a great source of information!  They do not paint a very pretty picture of the housing market, but I think most of us would have been mighty surprised if they had found differently.

If you are so inclined, the  entire report can be found here. Otherwise, I have summarized some of the more important points for you.

THE MARKET:

• New home sales have dropped about 60% from 2005 to 2008

• Existing single-family home sales are at the lowest level since 1997.  In April of 2008 there were 4.85 million sales, while in April of 2009 there were 4.68 million.

• There were 81,900 manufactured housing units shipped, the lowest number since 1959 when record keeping began.

• Homeowner vacancy rate hit an all time high of 2.7 percent.  Homes built since 2000 had a vacancy rate of 9.7 percent.

FORECLOSURES:

• 3.9 percent of one- to four-family loans was in foreclosure.  8.8 percent were at least 60 days past due, which means that they are well on their way to foreclosure.

• 3.2 million homeowners entered foreclosure in 2007 and 2008, and 600,000 entered foreclosure in just the first quarter of 2009.

• 14 million households were upside-down in their mortgages in March of 2009.

• Foreclosures accounted for 30 percent of existing home sales in the 4th quarter of 2008 and short sales accounted for an additional 15 percent.

• 46 percent of the national total of foreclosures are in California, Arizona, Nevada and Florida.

• Of the loan modifications that lowered payments by 10 percent and more, 1/5 were at least 60 days delinquent within 60 days.

FINANCING:

• 74 percent of the loans originated in 2008 were guaranteed by a federal agency, Fannie Mae, or Freddie Mac.

• FHA and VA originated 7 percent of loans in the fourth quarter of 2007, and 34 percent of the loans in the fourth quarter of 2008.

• A household that could have qualified for a $482,000 loan in 2005 could only be approved for $277,000 now.

HOME AFFORDABILITY:

• The number of households that pay more than 1/2 of their income to housing jumped from 13.8 million in 2001 to 17.9 million in 2007.

• Nearly 1/2 of working age households with incomes 1 to 2 times the federal minimum wage spent more than 1/2 their incomes on housing.

• NO household earning minimum wage can afford a modest two bedroom apartment anywhere in the United States.

OTHER GOODIES:

• If every home was as energy efficient as homes built since 2000 have been, residential energy consumption would drop 22 percent!

• Between 2001 and 2007, $874 billion of home equity was cashed out to pay off non-mortgage debt.

WHAT DOES THAT MEAN FOR US IN NEW HAMPSHIRE?

Housing is a LOCAL phenomenon.  Here in New Hampshire most of us have been lucky enough to escape the brunt of the housing downturn.  Is it the opportune market to sell in? No, not really. Is is still a great time to buy? Yes, of course!

The market will return. We should feel blessed that did not see the downturn that California and Florida had.  I am certain that next year`s Housing Report will be a bit more uplifting!

Related posts:

1. July 2009 – The New Hampshire Real Estate Market